Bear Mountain, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Bear Mountain

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Bear Mountain leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.

 

About 91% of adults in Bear Mountain typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bear Mountain, ~39% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Bear Mountain compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Bear Mountain leans more Republican than 158 of 200 neighbors.

Bear Mountain runs about 26 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Bear Mountain is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bear Mountain. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+14) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 10 points.

Why Bear Mountain leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bear Mountain, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Bear Mountain votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Bear Mountain runs about 26 points more Republican.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bear Mountain, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Bear Mountain looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bear Mountain is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 99% of households in Bear Mountain own their home, compared to around 73% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Bear Mountain have completed high school, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.