Black Canyon City leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Black Canyon City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Black Canyon City, ~22% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Black Canyon City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Black Canyon City leans more Republican than 8 of 12 neighbors.
Black Canyon City runs about 41 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Black Canyon City. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+38), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Black Canyon City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Black Canyon City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Black Canyon City live in densely developed areas, about 35 points below the Arizona average of 39%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Black Canyon City, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Black Canyon City looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Black Canyon City own their home, about 18 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Crown King, AZ R+53
- Cleator, AZ R+50
- New River, AZ R+44
- Anthem, AZ R+24
- Cordes Lakes, AZ R+43
- Spring Valley, AZ R+40
- Cordes Junction, AZ R+48
- Mayer, AZ R+43
- Carefree, AZ R+26
- Wagoner, AZ R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Goodells, MI R+49
- Weston, MO R+36
- Collins, GA R+50
- Callaway, VA R+58
- Congress, AZ R+52
- Ogilvie, MN R+50
- Blair, WI R+29
- La Valle, WI R+32
- Sterling, KS R+51
- Bagley, MN R+43
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.