Mayer leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Mayer typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mayer, ~21% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mayer compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mayer leans more Republican than 10 of 20 neighbors.
Mayer runs about 38 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mayer. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Mayer leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mayer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Mayer live in densely developed areas, about 36 points below the Arizona average of 39%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Mayer, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Mayer looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mayer is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Poland Junction, AZ R+45
- Spring Valley, AZ R+40
- Cordes Junction, AZ R+48
- Cordes Lakes, AZ R+43
- Cleator, AZ R+50
- Horse Thief, AZ R+56
- Dewey-Humboldt, AZ R+47
- Humboldt, AZ R+48
- Dewey, AZ R+33
- Crown King, AZ R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Nunnelly, TN R+68
- Bear Creek, AK R+15
- Catherine Lake, NC R+58
- Chatom, AL R+64
- Taylor Ridge, IL R+32
- Nashua, IA R+44
- Gumbranch, GA R+18
- Apache, OK R+57
- Lipscomb, AL D+75
- Jacobus, PA R+20
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.