Cordes Lakes leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Cordes Lakes typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cordes Lakes, ~18% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cordes Lakes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cordes Lakes leans more Republican than 5 of 15 neighbors.
Cordes Lakes runs about 37 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why Cordes Lakes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cordes Lakes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 90% of residents in Cordes Lakes drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Cordes Lakes sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 78% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Cordes Lakes, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Cordes Lakes looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cordes Lakes is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in Cordes Lakes have more than one occupant per room, above 93% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Cordes Lakes have completed high school, below 75% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cordes Junction, AZ R+48
- Spring Valley, AZ R+40
- Cleator, AZ R+50
- Mayer, AZ R+43
- Poland Junction, AZ R+45
- Horse Thief, AZ R+56
- Humboldt, AZ R+48
- Dewey-Humboldt, AZ R+47
- Crown King, AZ R+53
- Black Canyon City, AZ R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bethel, PA R+55
- Godwin, NC R+40
- Oskaloosa, KS R+51
- Patrick, SC R+59
- Monticello, WI R+8
- Pine River, MN R+41
- East Lansdowne, PA D+68
- Graysville, AL R+16
- South Hutchinson, KS R+42
- Christopher, IL R+49
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.