Monroe leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 85% of adults in Monroe typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Monroe, ~35% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Monroe compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Monroe leans more Republican than 40 of 87 neighbors.
Monroe runs about 24 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Monroe is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Monroe. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Monroe leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Monroe, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Monroe votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Monroe runs about 24 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Monroe, ME sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Monroe looks the way it does
Turnout in Monroe sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Monroe, ME R+20
- Frankfort, ME R+18
- Swanville, ME R+22
- Fosters Corner, ME R+24
- Jackson, ME R+20
- Winterport, ME Even
- Dixmont, ME R+34
- Brooks, ME R+24
- Waldo, ME R+22
- Searsport, ME R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Richford, WI R+40
- Frenchtown, PA R+54
- South Byron, WI R+48
- Fowlers Crossroads, AL R+85
- Lakeside, MI D+11
- Hoberg, MO R+70
- Bellflower, MO R+67
- St. David, IL R+38
- Quinwood, WV R+67
- Blue Ridge Shores, VA R+35
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.