Boca Grande leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Boca Grande typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Boca Grande, ~37% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Boca Grande compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Boca Grande is the least Republican-leaning.
Boca Grande runs about 7 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Boca Grande. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+26) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Boca Grande leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Boca Grande. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Boca Grande, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Boca Grande looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Boca Grande is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and more than 99% of households in Boca Grande own their home, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Placida, FL R+39
- Rotonda, FL R+34
- Rotonda West, FL R+40
- Bokeelia, FL R+44
- Grove City, FL R+32
- Manasota Key, FL R+36
- Englewood, FL R+30
- Captiva, FL R+34
- Charlotte Park, FL R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alda, NE R+57
- Sumner, GA R+70
- Santa Ysabel, CA R+23
- Kendall, WI R+37
- Laird Hill, TX R+61
- Martins Mill, TX R+76
- Chester, MA R+12
- Birmingham, OH R+39
- Walnut Springs, TX R+61
- Warsaw, TX R+65
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.