Warsaw is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Warsaw typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warsaw, ~13% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warsaw compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warsaw leans more Republican than 37 of 57 neighbors.
Warsaw runs about 51 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warsaw. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+59), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Warsaw leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warsaw, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 79% of households in Warsaw are family households, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Warsaw, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Warsaw looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Warsaw own their home, about 17 points above the Texas average of 75%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Warsaw sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gastonia, TX R+62
- Oak Grove, TX R+66
- Rosser, TX R+70
- Elmo, TX R+41
- Grays Prairie, TX R+68
- Combine, TX R+66
- Scurry, TX R+70
- Cottonwood, TX R+72
- Crandall, TX R+23
- Kaufman, TX R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Chester, MA R+12
- Birmingham, OH R+39
- Laird Hill, TX R+61
- Boca Grande, FL R+20
- Kendall, WI R+37
- Gamaliel, KY R+74
- Trezevant, TN R+62
- Walnut Springs, TX R+61
- Martins Mill, TX R+76
- Sumner, GA R+70
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.