Santa Ysabel leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Santa Ysabel typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Santa Ysabel, ~24% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Santa Ysabel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Santa Ysabel leans more Republican than 9 of 22 neighbors.
Santa Ysabel runs about 43 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Santa Ysabel is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Santa Ysabel. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Santa Ysabel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Santa Ysabel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Santa Ysabel live in densely developed areas, about 55 points below the California average of 58%. Santa Ysabel runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Developed land, local retail density, and voter turnout
Places that combine a rural land-use pattern and dense local retail within a mile tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Santa Ysabel, CA does.
Why turnout in Santa Ysabel looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Santa Ysabel is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wynola, CA R+19
- Julian, CA R+7
- Ramona, CA R+26
- Pine Hills, CA R+13
- Ranchita, CA R+25
- Palomar Mountain, CA R+20
- Warner Springs, CA R+19
- Morena, CA R+33
- Pauma Valley, CA R+26
- Flinn Springs, CA R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gamaliel, KY R+74
- Trezevant, TN R+62
- Birmingham, OH R+39
- Robeline, LA R+76
- Martins Mill, TX R+76
- Warsaw, TX R+65
- Walnut Springs, TX R+61
- Kendall, WI R+37
- Laird Hill, TX R+61
- Sumner, GA R+70
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.