Burley is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Burley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Burley, ~14% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Burley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Burley is the least Republican-leaning.
Burley runs about 17 points more Republican than Idaho as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Burley. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+36), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Burley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Burley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Burley votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 55%, far above the Idaho average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Burley, ID sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Burley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Burley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Unity, ID R+68
- Heyburn, ID R+57
- Pella, ID R+71
- View, ID R+75
- Springdale, ID R+75
- Paul, ID R+67
- Rupert, ID R+54
- Declo, ID R+78
- Jackson, ID R+73
- Albion, ID R+81
Cities with Similar Populations
- Galena, OH R+15
- Holden, MA D+12
- Kearney, MO R+33
- Fairview, NJ D+4
- Buckley, WA R+26
- Whitehouse, TX R+59
- Verona, NJ D+15
- DeForest, WI D+17
- South Venice, FL R+26
- Booneville, MS R+54
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.