Cantonment leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Cantonment typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cantonment, ~24% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cantonment compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cantonment leans more Republican than 9 of 39 neighbors.
Cantonment runs about 26 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cantonment. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Cantonment leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cantonment, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cantonment votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 47%, modestly below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Cantonment are family households, above 85% of cities.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; Cantonment, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Cantonment looks the way it does
Turnout in Cantonment sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gonzalez, FL R+41
- Cottage Hill, FL R+63
- Beulah, FL R+41
- Ensley, FL R+5
- Ferry Pass, FL R+15
- Molino, FL R+64
- Bellview, FL R+16
- Brent, FL D+20
- Seminole, AL R+80
- Pace, FL R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Scottsboro, AL R+62
- Fortville, IN R+19
- Chickasha, OK R+41
- Franklin Park, IL D+6
- Palos Hills, IL R+11
- Berea, OH D+12
- Newberry, SC Even
- Selah, WA R+36
- Union, MO R+44
- Pikeville, KY R+49
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.