Cottage Hill, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Cottage Hill

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Cottage Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.

 

About 74% of adults in Cottage Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cottage Hill, ~13% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Cottage Hill compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Cottage Hill leans more Republican than 24 of 45 neighbors.

Cottage Hill runs about 50 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cottage Hill. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+50), a spread of about 22 points.

Why Cottage Hill leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cottage Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 84% of households in Cottage Hill are family households, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 67%.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Cottage Hill, FL sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Cottage Hill looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Cottage Hill own their home, about 19 points above the Florida average of 71%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.