Canyon is a Democratic stronghold. About 82% of voters here vote Democratic and 18% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Canyon typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Canyon, ~55% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Canyon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Canyon leans more Democratic than 80 of 86 neighbors.
Canyon runs about 44 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Canyon. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+65) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+48), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Canyon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Canyon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 83% of adults in Canyon hold a bachelor's degree, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Canyon sits in the top fifth on density (about 46%, above 86% of cities).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Canyon, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Canyon looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Canyon is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 79%, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Canyon own their home, compared to around 70% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Canyon have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Moraga, CA D+49
- Orinda, CA D+54
- Piedmont, CA D+68
- Oakland, CA D+68
- Orinda Village, CA D+58
- Lafayette, CA D+48
- Berkeley, CA D+80
- Emeryville, CA D+75
- Alameda, CA D+60
- Castle Hill, CA D+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Edwall, WA R+55
- Broomes Island, MD R+25
- Pompeys Pillar, MT R+68
- Hebron, VA R+63
- Hendrum, MN R+22
- San Geronimo, CA D+51
- Oak Shade Park, MI R+27
- Whiteside, PA R+56
- Dugway, UT R+52
- Sharon, KS R+77
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.