Alameda is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Alameda typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Alameda, ~53% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Alameda compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Alameda leans more Democratic than 83 of 96 neighbors.
Alameda runs about 40 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Alameda. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+67) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+53), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Alameda leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Alameda, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 88% of residents in Alameda live in densely developed areas, about 52 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Alameda sits in the top quarter (about 61%, above 97% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 32% of adults in Alameda have never been married, above 79% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Alameda, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Alameda looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Alameda is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oakland, CA D+68
- Piedmont, CA D+68
- Emeryville, CA D+75
- Canyon, CA D+64
- San Leandro, CA D+41
- Berkeley, CA D+80
- Orinda Village, CA D+58
- Albany, CA D+75
- Ashland, CA D+45
- San Lorenzo, CA D+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fort Mill, SC R+16
- Schaumburg, IL D+13
- Easton, PA D+13
- Middletown, OH R+23
- Lynnwood, WA D+21
- Dalton, GA R+30
- Denham Springs, LA R+59
- Ellicott City, MD D+33
- Watsonville, CA D+36
- Hagerstown, MD R+6
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.