Orinda Village is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Orinda Village typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orinda Village, ~43% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orinda Village compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Orinda Village leans more Democratic than 68 of 82 neighbors.
Orinda Village runs about 37 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Orinda Village. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+71) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 60 points.
Why Orinda Village leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orinda Village, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 76% of adults in Orinda Village hold a bachelor's degree, about 47 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Orinda Village sits in the top fifth on density (about 30%, above 80% of cities).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Orinda Village, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Orinda Village looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Orinda Village is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Orinda, CA D+54
- Berkeley, CA D+80
- Albany, CA D+75
- Piedmont, CA D+68
- Canyon, CA D+64
- Emeryville, CA D+75
- El Cerrito, CA D+70
- Lafayette, CA D+48
- Moraga, CA D+49
- Oakland, CA D+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Garrison, CA R+2
- Moores Corners, PA R+50
- Blue John, KY R+76
- Clayhill, AL R+7
- Hightowers, NC D+18
- Blanchard, ME R+38
- Hemlock Center, NH R+30
- Haverhill, OH R+56
- Holly Grove, TX R+81
- Sharon, LA R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.