Cape Orl Estates leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Cape Orl Estates typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cape Orl Estates, ~34% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cape Orl Estates compares
Politically, Cape Orl Estates sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Cape Orl Estates. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+24) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Cape Orl Estates leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cape Orl Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 85% of households in Cape Orl Estates are family households, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Cape Orl Estates sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 24%, below 95% of neighborhoods).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Cape Orl Estates, Wedgefield, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Cape Orl Estates looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Cape Orl Estates own their home, about 20 points above the Florida average of 71%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Avalon Park Village, Alafaya, FL Even
- Avalon Park Northwest Village, Alafaya, FL D+5
- Spring Isle, Alafaya, FL D+11
- Stoneybrook, Alafaya, FL Even
- Huckleberry Fields, Alafaya, FL Even
- Sussex Place, Alafaya, FL D+26
- Stonemeade, Alafaya, FL D+6
- Legacy Place, Alafaya, FL D+13
- university, Orlando, FL D+14
- Bal Bay, Orlando, FL Even
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Williston North, Williston, VT D+25
- Southwest Village, Wichita, KS R+15
- Linden Heights, Dayton, OH D+3
- College Park, Ladson, SC R+5
- Fairmeadow, Palo Alto, CA D+43
- Grand, Riverside, CA D+4
- Hagginwood, Sacramento, CA D+29
- Audubon, Louisville, KY D+24
- Fairway-Liberty Heights, Lexington, KY D+43
- Hickory Grove, Charlotte, NC D+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.