Spring Isle, Alafaya, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Spring Isle

Spring Isle leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.

 
Spring Isle, Alafaya, FL block-group political-lean map
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About 60% of adults in Spring Isle typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Spring Isle, ~33% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Spring Isle, Alafaya, FL block-group voter-turnout map
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How Spring Isle compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Spring Isle leans more Democratic than 5 of 8 neighbors.

Spring Isle runs about 24 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Spring Isle is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Why Spring Isle leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Spring Isle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 64% of adults in Spring Isle hold a bachelor's degree, about 35 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Spring Isle runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Park access and Republican lean

Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Spring Isle, Alafaya, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.

Why turnout in Spring Isle looks the way it does

Turnout in Spring Isle sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.