Carey, ID Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Carey

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Carey is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.

 

About 35% of adults in Carey typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carey, ~8% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~65% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Carey compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Carey leans more Republican than 4 of 6 neighbors.

Carey runs about 18 points more Republican than Idaho as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carey. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+14) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+58), a spread of about 72 points.

Why Carey leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carey, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Carey live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the Idaho average of 18%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 89% of households in Carey are family households, in the top fraction of cities.

Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean

Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Carey, ID does.

Why turnout in Carey looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Carey is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in Carey rent, above 91% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in Carey report food insecurity, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.