Hailey, ID Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Hailey

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Hailey leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.

 

About 85% of adults in Hailey typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hailey, ~55% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Hailey compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Hailey leans more Democratic than 9 of 10 neighbors.

Hailey runs about 66 points more Democratic than Idaho as a whole. Idaho leans Republican overall, while Hailey is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hailey. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+50) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+22), a spread of about 28 points.

Why Hailey leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hailey, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 50% of residents in Hailey live in densely developed areas, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Hailey sits in the top quarter (about 45%, above 91% of cities). Hailey runs against the grain of Idaho, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Hailey, ID sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Hailey looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hailey is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

All Local Stats

Home Services

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.