Carle Place, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Carle Place

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Carle Place leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.

 

About 74% of adults in Carle Place typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carle Place, ~31% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Carle Place compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Carle Place leans more Republican than 185 of 234 neighbors.

Carle Place runs about 29 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Carle Place is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carle Place. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+23) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Carle Place leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carle Place, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Carle Place votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Carle Place are family households, above 80% of cities. Carle Place runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Carle Place, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Carle Place looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Carle Place is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.