Oracle leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Oracle typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oracle, ~23% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oracle compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oracle is the most Republican-leaning.
Oracle runs about 21 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oracle. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Oracle leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oracle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Oracle live in densely developed areas, about 34 points below the Arizona average of 39%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Oracle, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Oracle looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oracle is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Saddlebrooke, AZ R+8
- Catalina, AZ R+19
- San Manuel, AZ R+26
- Mount Lemmon, AZ R+8
- Mammoth, AZ Even
- Oro Valley, AZ D+3
- Catalina Foothills, AZ D+20
- Dudleyville, AZ R+6
- Casas Adobes, AZ D+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Baldwin, GA R+53
- Lemoyne, PA D+11
- Sunderland, MD R+15
- Columbus Grove, OH R+69
- Quitman, TX R+70
- St. Charles, MI R+36
- Franklinville, NC R+60
- Oronoco, MN R+16
- Boonville, NC R+63
- Norlina, NC D+15
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.