Highland Mills, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Highland Mills

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Highland Mills leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.

 

About 70% of adults in Highland Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Highland Mills, ~31% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Highland Mills compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Highland Mills leans more Republican than 106 of 176 neighbors.

Highland Mills runs about 25 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Highland Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Highland Mills. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 32 points.

Why Highland Mills leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Highland Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Highland Mills votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 23%, modestly below the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in Highland Mills are family households, above 97% of cities. Highland Mills runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Highland Mills, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Highland Mills looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Highland Mills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.