Carmel is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Carmel typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carmel, ~10% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carmel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carmel leans more Republican than 61 of 82 neighbors.
Carmel runs about 56 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why Carmel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carmel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Carmel hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the Ohio average of 23%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Carmel, OH sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Carmel looks the way it does
Turnout in Carmel sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rainsboro, OH R+65
- Marshall, OH R+65
- Barretts Mills, OH R+66
- Lincolnville, OH R+69
- Cynthiana, OH R+68
- Harriett, OH R+66
- North Uniontown, OH R+67
- Sinking Spring, OH R+69
- Boston, OH R+64
- Fruitdale, OH R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Frogville, OK R+77
- Garden Plain, IL R+43
- Fuget, KY R+73
- Tollette, AR D+8
- Rushing, AR R+63
- Posey, CA R+44
- Iowa Center, IA R+29
- Jordan Mines, VA R+64
- Fairmead, CA R+37
- Fairview, IN R+68
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.