Posey leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Posey typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Posey, ~17% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Posey compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Posey leans more Republican than 15 of 19 neighbors.
Posey runs about 64 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Posey is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Posey leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Posey, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Posey live in densely developed areas, about 57 points below the California average of 58%. Posey runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Posey, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Posey looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in Posey have more than one occupant per room, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- California Hot Springs, CA R+42
- Glennville, CA R+52
- White River, CA R+45
- Woody, CA R+52
- Wofford Heights, CA R+43
- Kernville, CA R+17
- Poplar, CA R+23
- Lake Isabella, CA R+38
- Johnsondale, CA R+21
- Bodfish, CA R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mowbray, TN R+66
- East Rindge, NH R+14
- East Rodman, NY R+42
- Ralston, PA R+63
- Vining, IA R+45
- Dovray, MN R+55
- Jefferson Estates, OH R+56
- Keo, AR R+48
- Walker, KS R+69
- Ivy Log, GA R+58
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.