Fairmead leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Fairmead typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fairmead, ~12% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fairmead compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fairmead leans more Republican than 21 of 23 neighbors.
Fairmead runs about 57 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Fairmead is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fairmead. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Fairmead leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fairmead, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fairmead votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Fairmead runs about 57 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Fairmead sits in the bottom quarter (about 10%, below 92% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Fairmead, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Fairmead looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Fairmead is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 59% of households in Fairmead rent, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in Fairmead report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chowchilla, CA R+26
- Sharon, CA R+32
- Madera Acres, CA R+15
- Madera, CA Even
- Le Grand, CA R+14
- La Vina, CA R+22
- Parkwood, CA R+31
- El Nido, CA R+54
- Ripperdan, CA R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Anderson, AK R+32
- Jordan Mines, VA R+64
- Fairview, IN R+68
- Vining, IA R+45
- Medora, ND R+67
- Meco, NY R+43
- Water Valley, IL R+44
- Danville Center, VT D+3
- Parrish, WI R+38
- Ralston, PA R+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.