Carolina Heights is a Democratic stronghold. About 83% of voters here vote Democratic and 17% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Carolina Heights typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carolina Heights, ~60% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carolina Heights compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Carolina Heights is the most Democratic-leaning.
Carolina Heights runs about 69 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Carolina Heights is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Carolina Heights. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+69) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+57), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Carolina Heights leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carolina Heights, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Carolina Heights votes against the grain of North Carolina. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Carolina Heights runs about 69 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in Carolina Heights have never been married, above 80% of neighborhoods.
Foreign-born share and voter turnout
Places with a low foreign-born share tend to turn out in mixed patterns; Carolina Heights, Wilmington, NC sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Carolina Heights looks the way it does
Turnout in Carolina Heights sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- South Side, Wilmington, NC D+57
- College Park, Wilmington, NC D+32
- Wrightsboro, Wilmington, NC R+3
- Silver Lake, Wilmington, NC Even
- Landfall, Wilmington, NC R+15
- Bayshore, Wilmington, NC R+11
- Downtown Fayetteville, Fayetteville, NC D+63
- Rockfish, Raeford, NC R+6
- South, Raleigh, NC D+71
- Southeast, Raleigh, NC D+65
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Rising Sun-Lebanon, Magnolia, DE D+11
- Valley View, Glen Ellyn, IL D+5
- Historic Edgefield, Nashville, TN D+60
- Edgemar-Pacific Manor, Pacifica, CA D+54
- Hainesville, Martinsburg, WV R+29
- Downtown Michigan City, Michigan City, IN D+17
- Downtown Columbus, Columbus, GA D+34
- Salisbury Point, Amesbury Town, MA D+35
- Chene, Detroit, MI D+23
- Fisk-Meharry, Nashville, TN D+70
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.