Hainesville leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Hainesville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hainesville, ~23% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hainesville compares
Hainesville runs about 12 points more Democratic than West Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Hainesville. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Hainesville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hainesville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican, and Hainesville sits in the bottom quarter on developed land relative to similar places. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Hainesville are family households, above 84% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Hainesville, Martinsburg, WV sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Hainesville looks the way it does
Turnout in Hainesville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Berkeley, Martinsburg, WV R+23
- Rosemont, Martinsburg, WV R+6
- Berkeley Place, Martinsburg, WV R+4
- Nollville, Martinsburg, WV R+26
- Darkesville, Inwood, WV R+35
- Arden, Martinsburg, WV R+50
- Tarico Heights, Inwood, WV R+39
- Downtown Frederick, Frederick, MD D+56
- Ashburn Farm, Ashburn, VA D+23
- Ashburn Village, Ashburn, VA D+26
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Edgemar-Pacific Manor, Pacifica, CA D+54
- Downtown Columbus, Columbus, GA D+34
- Salisbury Point, Amesbury Town, MA D+35
- Valley View, Glen Ellyn, IL D+5
- Historic Edgefield, Nashville, TN D+60
- Carolina Heights, Wilmington, NC D+66
- Fisk-Meharry, Nashville, TN D+70
- Bellevue, Richmond, VA D+49
- Rising Sun-Lebanon, Magnolia, DE D+11
- Olympus Pointe, Roseville, CA Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from West Virginia Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.