Bayshore leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Bayshore typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bayshore, ~50% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~-13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bayshore compares
Bayshore runs about 8 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Why Bayshore leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bayshore, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Bayshore sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 84% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 18 points above the North Carolina average of 66%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bayshore, Wilmington, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bayshore looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bayshore is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Bayshore have completed high school, above 84% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Landfall, Wilmington, NC R+15
- College Park, Wilmington, NC D+32
- Wrightsboro, Wilmington, NC R+3
- Carolina Heights, Wilmington, NC D+66
- South Side, Wilmington, NC D+57
- Silver Lake, Wilmington, NC Even
- Downtown Fayetteville, Fayetteville, NC D+63
- Rockfish, Raeford, NC R+6
- South, Raleigh, NC D+71
- Southeast, Raleigh, NC D+65
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Westlake Village, Westlake Village, CA D+10
- Washington Village, Baltimore, MD D+75
- O Hair Park, Detroit, MI D+87
- Mid-Hillside, Anchorage, AK D+20
- Western Michigan University-KRPH, Kalamazoo, MI D+51
- West Riverside, New Orleans, LA D+46
- Friendly Acres, Redwood City, CA D+47
- Grayson Hill, Tuckahoe, VA D+20
- West Side, Augusta, GA D+23
- Roxhill, Seattle, WA D+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.