Landfall leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Landfall typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Landfall, ~45% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~-5% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Landfall compares
Landfall sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
Landfall runs about 12 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Landfall. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Landfall leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Landfall. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Landfall, Wilmington, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Landfall looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Landfall is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 79%, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Landfall have completed high school, above 95% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- College Park, Wilmington, NC D+32
- Bayshore, Wilmington, NC R+11
- South Side, Wilmington, NC D+57
- Carolina Heights, Wilmington, NC D+66
- Wrightsboro, Wilmington, NC R+3
- Silver Lake, Wilmington, NC Even
- Downtown Fayetteville, Fayetteville, NC D+63
- Rockfish, Raeford, NC R+6
- South, Raleigh, NC D+71
- Southeast, Raleigh, NC D+65
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Old Northeast, Bloomington, IN D+64
- Kendall, San Bernardino, CA D+16
- Westhill, Bothell, WA D+46
- Waverly Hills, Arlington, VA D+49
- Bluff Acres, Madison, WI D+54
- Sunset, Pueblo, CO D+4
- University Park-Jacksonville, Jacksonville, FL D+26
- Deer Park, Louisville, KY D+61
- Sherwood Forest, Charlotte, NC D+3
- Spring Isle, Alafaya, FL D+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.