College Park leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 46% of adults in College Park typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in College Park, ~30% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How College Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, College Park leans more Democratic than 1 of 3 neighbors.
College Park runs about 35 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while College Park is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within College Park. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+32) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+21), a spread of about 12 points.
Why College Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for College Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 63% of adults in College Park have never been married, well above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 40%). College Park runs against the grain of North Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; College Park, Wilmington, NC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in College Park looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 89% of households in College Park rent, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and College Park sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- South Side, Wilmington, NC D+57
- Landfall, Wilmington, NC R+15
- Carolina Heights, Wilmington, NC D+66
- Wrightsboro, Wilmington, NC R+3
- Bayshore, Wilmington, NC R+11
- Silver Lake, Wilmington, NC Even
- Downtown Fayetteville, Fayetteville, NC D+63
- Rockfish, Raeford, NC R+6
- South, Raleigh, NC D+71
- Southeast, Raleigh, NC D+65
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Cobb Park Area, Abilene, TX R+12
- Reservoir, Providence, RI D+22
- Loma Park, San Antonio, TX D+27
- Summerside, Cincinnati, OH R+32
- Shafter, Oakland, CA D+87
- East Hill, Eau Claire, WI D+30
- Wheeling Avenue Historic District, Cambridge, OH R+29
- Central West Denver, Denver, CO D+51
- Newland, Huntington Beach, CA R+3
- Sidney Walnut Avenue Historic District, Sidney, OH R+37
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.