Carroll County is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Carroll County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carroll County, ~16% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carroll County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Carroll County leans more Republican than 17 of 19 neighbors.
Carroll County runs about 44 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Carroll County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+46), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Carroll County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carroll County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Carroll County, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points below the Ohio average of 23%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Carroll County, OH sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Carroll County looks the way it does
Turnout in Carroll County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Tuscarawas County, OH R+48
- Harrison County, OH R+56
- Stark County, OH R+18
- Columbiana County, OH R+45
- Jefferson County, OH R+35
- Hancock County, WV R+42
- Brooke County, WV R+42
- Mahoning County, OH Even
- Holmes County, OH R+72
- Portage County, OH R+12
Counties with Similar Populations
- King George County, VA R+23
- Juneau County, WI R+31
- Gillespie County, TX R+56
- Boone County, IA R+24
- Yazoo County, MS D+17
- Wasco County, OR R+14
- Marlboro County, SC D+9
- Geneva County, AL R+74
- Oceana County, MI R+28
- Stephens County, GA R+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.