Carson Corner is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Carson Corner typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carson Corner, ~32% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carson Corner compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Carson Corner leans more Democratic than 4 of 13 neighbors.
Carson Corner runs about 10 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole.
Why Carson Corner leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Carson Corner. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Carson Corner, Tucson, AZ sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Carson Corner looks the way it does
Turnout in Carson Corner sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Mallory Creek at Abacoa, Jupiter, FL R+11
- Prince Tucson, Tucson, AZ D+36
- Minshall Park, Tulsa, OK D+5
- Fort Caroline Shores, Jacksonville, FL R+29
- West 10th, Oklahoma City, OK D+20
- Belmont, Roanoke, VA D+3
- Shady Park Neighbourhood, Muskegon, MI D+6
- Lake Houston, Houston, TX R+15
- Bear Canyon, Tucson, AZ R+4
- Woodlands-Orlando, Orlando, FL D+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.