Stella Mann leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Stella Mann typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stella Mann, ~25% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stella Mann compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Stella Mann leans more Democratic than 8 of 12 neighbors.
Stella Mann runs about 18 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Stella Mann is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Stella Mann leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stella Mann, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 51% of adults in Stella Mann have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 43%). Stella Mann runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Stella Mann, Tucson, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Stella Mann looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Stella Mann is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 10 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in Stella Mann have more than one occupant per room, above 84% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in Stella Mann have completed high school, below 76% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Warren Point, Fair Lawn, NJ Even
- Belmont, Lincoln, NE D+8
- Fishers Landing East, Vancouver, WA D+26
- College Heights Baker Street, Bakersfield, CA D+15
- Downtown Little Rock, Little Rock, AR D+70
- Aurora Hills, Aurora, CO D+27
- Colonial Heights, Yonkers, NY D+19
- Dayton Triangle, Aurora, CO D+40
- North Loop, Minneapolis, MN D+65
- Elwood, East Northport, NY R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.