Caryville is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Caryville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caryville, ~12% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caryville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Caryville leans more Republican than 16 of 69 neighbors.
Caryville runs about 35 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Caryville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Caryville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Caryville, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 11% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Tennessee average of 22%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Caryville runs against that pattern.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Caryville, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Caryville looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Caryville sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Jacksboro, TN R+65
- Lake City, TN R+54
- Pine Crest, TN R+72
- Rocky Top, TN R+61
- Slatestone, TN R+69
- Grantsboro, TN R+72
- DeMory, TN R+71
- Seeber Flats, TN R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Three Rivers, OR R+5
- Denver, IA R+30
- Fort Branch, IN R+44
- Malakoff, TX R+48
- Blowing Rock, NC D+3
- Mansfield, GA R+63
- Moores Hill, IN R+61
- Rock Island, TN R+69
- Gravois Mills, MO R+56
- Vandalia, MO R+47
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.