Casanova, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Casanova

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Casanova leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.

 

About 86% of adults in Casanova typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Casanova, ~34% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Casanova compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Casanova leans more Republican than 58 of 99 neighbors.

Casanova runs about 28 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Casanova is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Casanova. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 20 points.

Why Casanova leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Casanova, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Casanova votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Casanova runs about 28 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Casanova are family households, above 87% of cities.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Casanova, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Casanova looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Casanova is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.