Catlett leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 93% of adults in Catlett typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Catlett, ~34% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Catlett compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Catlett leans more Republican than 79 of 105 neighbors.
Catlett runs about 32 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Catlett is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Catlett. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Catlett leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Catlett, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Catlett votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Catlett runs about 32 points more Republican.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Catlett, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Catlett looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Catlett is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Calverton, VA R+21
- Casanova, VA R+22
- Aden, VA R+36
- Nokesville, VA R+27
- Greenwich, VA R+30
- Midland, VA R+39
- Bristow, VA R+23
- New Baltimore, VA R+17
- Linton Hall, VA D+9
- Bealeton, VA R+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kaneohe Bay, HI D+3
- Empire, AL R+79
- North Lima, OH R+31
- Indian River, MI R+22
- Tonkawa, OK R+55
- Beaver, UT R+72
- Cresson, PA R+43
- Wabasha, MN R+15
- Taylor Lake Village, TX R+23
- St. Ignace, MI R+9
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.