Cave Junction leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Cave Junction typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cave Junction, ~34% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cave Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cave Junction leans more Republican than 1 of 9 neighbors.
Cave Junction runs about 36 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Cave Junction is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Cave Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cave Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cave Junction votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 22%, modestly below the Oregon average of 31%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Cave Junction runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Cave Junction, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Cave Junction looks the way it does
Turnout in Cave Junction sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kerby, OR R+29
- O'Brien, OR R+25
- Takilma, OR R+23
- Selma, OR R+34
- Wonder, OR R+35
- Wilderville, OR R+34
- Williams, OR R+8
- Murphy, OR R+29
- Grants Pass, OR R+24
- Happy Camp, CA R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rye, NH D+18
- Myersville, MD R+15
- Black Diamond, WA D+12
- Elkton, KY R+66
- Holly Hill, SC D+33
- Robbinsville, NC R+62
- West Bradenton, FL R+23
- Tuskegee Institute, AL D+84
- Kent City, MI R+40
- Bristol, NH R+9
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.