Cawelo is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Cawelo typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cawelo, ~16% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cawelo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cawelo leans more Republican than 15 of 18 neighbors.
Cawelo runs about 72 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Cawelo is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Cawelo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cawelo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cawelo votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Cawelo runs about 72 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Cawelo sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 92% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Cawelo are family households, above 81% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Cawelo, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Cawelo looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Cawelo is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and more than 99% of households in Cawelo own their home, compared to around 59% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Edison, CA R+36
- Oildale, CA R+34
- Bakersfield, CA R+12
- Di Giorgio, CA R+31
- Lamont, CA D+15
- Edmundson Acres, CA Even
- Weedpatch, CA Even
- Woody, CA R+52
- Arvin, CA D+9
- Pumpkin Center, CA R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pleasanton, IA R+61
- Bluff, MS R+89
- Harden City, OK R+70
- Taylor Settlement, NY R+37
- Hamilton, AR R+79
- Parkdale, MO R+40
- South Van Buren, MO R+67
- Atkinson Mills, ME R+42
- Naponee, NE R+67
- Kingstown, MD D+6
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.