Cearfoss leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Cearfoss typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cearfoss, ~22% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cearfoss compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cearfoss leans more Republican than 21 of 96 neighbors.
Cearfoss runs about 63 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Cearfoss is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cearfoss. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Cearfoss leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cearfoss, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cearfoss votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Cearfoss runs about 63 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Cearfoss runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 89% of households in Cearfoss are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Cearfoss, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Cearfoss looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Cearfoss own their home, about 14 points above the Maryland average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Maugansville, MD R+16
- Fountainhead-Orchard Hills, MD R+9
- State Line, PA R+53
- Wilson-Conococheague, MD R+56
- Hagerstown, MD R+6
- Milnor, PA R+42
- Halfway, MD R+24
- Welsh Run, PA R+65
- Greencastle, PA R+46
- Williamsport, MD R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lockhart, AL R+76
- Little Switzerland, NC R+59
- Oxly, MO R+71
- Merton, MN R+43
- Pratt, WV R+46
- Hamilton, WA R+33
- Port William, OH R+62
- Shamrock, MO R+64
- Schofield, MO R+71
- Pomona, MD D+6
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.