Davenport leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Davenport typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Davenport, ~31% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Davenport compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Davenport leans more Republican than 24 of 50 neighbors.
Davenport runs about 7 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Davenport. The north side is the most split-leaning (R+12) and the west side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Davenport leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Davenport, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Davenport votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 49%, modestly below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Davenport, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Davenport looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Davenport is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Holiday Manor, FL R+22
- Celebration, FL R+16
- Intercession City, FL Even
- Four Corners, FL R+6
- Haines City, FL Even
- Poinciana, FL D+17
- Lake Alfred, FL R+21
- Lake Hamilton, FL R+17
- Polk City, FL R+50
- Bay Lake, FL R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kirkland, WA D+45
- Howell, MI R+24
- Fountainebleau, FL R+30
- Novato, CA D+34
- Mentor, OH R+13
- Levittown, PA R+2
- San Gabriel, CA D+19
- Monterey Park, CA D+21
- North Bergen, NJ D+6
- Richland, WA R+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.