Centerville Historic District is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Centerville Historic District typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Centerville Historic District, ~41% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Centerville Historic District compares
Centerville Historic District runs about 8 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Centerville Historic District. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Centerville Historic District leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Centerville Historic District. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Centerville Historic District, Centerville, OH sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Centerville Historic District looks the way it does
Turnout in Centerville Historic District sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Arrowhead Park, Brick, NJ R+33
- West Lake Sammamish, Bellevue, WA D+42
- Campus Commons, Sacramento, CA D+48
- South Park, Des Moines, IA D+14
- Woodlands at Fiore, Buffalo Grove, IL D+26
- The Gulch, Nashville, TN D+11
- Charles Page, Tulsa, OK R+12
- O'Fallon, St. Louis, MO D+87
- Helderberg, Albany, NY D+57
- West Acres, Fargo, ND D+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.