Arrowhead Park leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Arrowhead Park typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arrowhead Park, ~28% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arrowhead Park compares
Arrowhead Park sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable neighborhoods nearby.
Arrowhead Park runs about 38 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Arrowhead Park is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Arrowhead Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arrowhead Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Arrowhead Park drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Arrowhead Park are family households, above 81% of neighborhoods. Arrowhead Park runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Arrowhead Park, Brick, NJ sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Arrowhead Park looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Arrowhead Park is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in Arrowhead Park own their home, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Point Pleasant Manor, Brick, NJ R+31
- West Osbornsville, Brick, NJ R+32
- Dover Heights, Toms River, NJ R+27
- Downtown Neptune City, Neptune City, NJ D+8
- Berkley Estates, Neptune, NJ D+46
- Barnegat Pines, Forked River, NJ R+42
- Ravine Gardens, Matawan, NJ R+4
- North Middletown, Middletown, NJ R+22
- Creighton Village, Old Bridge, NJ R+24
- Southwood, Old Bridge, NJ R+22
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- West Lake Sammamish, Bellevue, WA D+42
- South Park, Des Moines, IA D+14
- Woodlands at Fiore, Buffalo Grove, IL D+26
- The Gulch, Nashville, TN D+11
- Centerville Historic District, Centerville, OH R+3
- Charles Page, Tulsa, OK R+12
- West Acres, Fargo, ND D+21
- South Elmwood, Providence, RI D+28
- Campus Commons, Sacramento, CA D+48
- St Denis, Catonsville, MD D+18
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.