Central is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Central typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Central, ~17% vote Democratic, ~70% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Central compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Central leans more Republican than 10 of 15 neighbors.
Central runs about 57 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Central. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+76) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+54), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Central leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Central, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 79% of households in Central are family households, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Central, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Central looks the way it does
Turnout in Central sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pima, AZ R+67
- Thatcher, AZ R+57
- Safford, AZ R+44
- Lone Star, AZ R+53
- Eden, AZ R+76
- Swift Trail Junction, AZ R+55
- Solomon, AZ R+60
- Cactus Flat, AZ R+60
- Old Columbine, AZ R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. Florian, AL R+50
- Redfield, IA R+36
- Rehoboth, NM D+31
- Republic, PA R+28
- Washington, NH R+24
- Cedarville, MI R+8
- Schodack Landing, NY R+5
- Garland, NE R+55
- Lee, ME R+37
- Stewart, MN R+61
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.