Pima is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Pima typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pima, ~11% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pima compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pima leans more Republican than 12 of 16 neighbors.
Pima runs about 61 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pima. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+76) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+61), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Pima leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pima, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Pima hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Arizona average of 25%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Pima runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Pima are family households, above 84% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Pima, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Pima looks the way it does
Turnout in Pima sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Central, AZ R+63
- Thatcher, AZ R+57
- Eden, AZ R+76
- Safford, AZ R+44
- Lone Star, AZ R+53
- Old Columbine, AZ R+71
- Fort Thomas, AZ R+70
- Swift Trail Junction, AZ R+55
- Solomon, AZ R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Odem, TX R+21
- Phil Campbell, AL R+80
- Calcium, NY R+19
- Lakeside Park, KY R+9
- Waskom, TX R+48
- Anacoco, LA R+86
- Flora Vista, NM R+58
- Shoemakersville, PA R+39
- Charleston, AR R+67
- Mount Morris, IL R+25
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.