Swift Trail Junction is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Swift Trail Junction typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Swift Trail Junction, ~14% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Swift Trail Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Swift Trail Junction leans more Republican than 5 of 13 neighbors.
Swift Trail Junction runs about 50 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Swift Trail Junction. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Swift Trail Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Swift Trail Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 9% of adults in Swift Trail Junction hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Arizona average of 25%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Swift Trail Junction, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Swift Trail Junction looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Swift Trail Junction is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 43% of households in Swift Trail Junction rent, compared to around 18% in nearby cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in Swift Trail Junction have completed high school, below 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cactus Flat, AZ R+60
- Safford, AZ R+44
- Lone Star, AZ R+53
- Thatcher, AZ R+57
- Solomon, AZ R+60
- San Jose, AZ R+47
- Central, AZ R+63
- Buena Vista, AZ R+41
- Old Columbine, AZ R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sugar City, ID R+59
- Sherrill, NY R+4
- Fair Haven, VT R+25
- Laporte, MN R+33
- Robersonville, NC D+23
- Cathlamet, WA R+15
- Westport, WA Even
- Keystone, CA D+24
- Casco, MI R+45
- Hahnville, LA D+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.