Central Oak Park leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Central Oak Park typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Central Oak Park, ~42% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Central Oak Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Central Oak Park leans more Democratic than 15 of 22 neighbors.
Central Oak Park runs about 37 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Central Oak Park is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Central Oak Park. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+51) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+9), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Central Oak Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Central Oak Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Central Oak Park votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Central Oak Park runs about 37 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Central Oak Park, St. Petersburg, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Central Oak Park looks the way it does
Turnout in Central Oak Park sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Westminster Heights, St. Petersburg, FL D+45
- Disston Heights, St. Petersburg, FL Even
- Childs Park, St. Petersburg, FL D+68
- Pasadena Bear Creek Estates, St. Petersburg, FL Even
- Holiday Park, St. Petersburg, FL R+8
- Highland Oaks, St. Petersburg, FL D+79
- Melrose Mercy, St. Petersburg, FL D+75
- Methodist Town, St. Petersburg, FL D+31
- Oakwood Gardens, St. Petersburg, FL D+16
- Harris Park, St. Petersburg, FL D+5
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Park Stockdale, Bakersfield, CA D+2
- Hillcrest-Bakersfield, Bakersfield, CA R+2
- Coomer Creek, Garland, TX D+6
- Lyndale, Minneapolis, MN D+71
- Cherokee Park, Nashville, TN D+44
- Lauderdale North Park, North Lauderdale, FL D+57
- West End, Alameda, CA D+67
- Olde Whitehall, Charlotte, NC D+43
- Brookside, Erie, PA Even
- Franklin Heights, Milwaukee, WI D+88
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.