Central Valley, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Central Valley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Central Valley leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.

 

About 78% of adults in Central Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Central Valley, ~35% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Central Valley compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Central Valley leans more Republican than 105 of 183 neighbors.

Central Valley runs about 23 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Central Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Central Valley. The northeast side is the most split-leaning (R+18) and the north side is the least split-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Central Valley leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Central Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Central Valley votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 48%, modestly above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Central Valley are family households, above 89% of cities. Central Valley runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Central Valley, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Central Valley looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Central Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in Central Valley own their home, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.