St. Francis leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 86% of adults in St. Francis typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Francis, ~28% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How St. Francis compares
Among cities within 25 miles, St. Francis leans more Republican than 46 of 69 neighbors.
St. Francis runs about 40 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while St. Francis is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within St. Francis. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 19 points.
Why St. Francis leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for St. Francis, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
St. Francis votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while St. Francis runs about 40 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but St. Francis runs against that pattern.
Adult arthritis and voter turnout
Places with a low adult-arthritis rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; St. Francis, MN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Arthritis does not drive turnout; it reflects the age and health profile of an area.
Why turnout in St. Francis looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in St. Francis have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oak Grove, MN R+38
- Bradford, MN R+40
- Bethel, MN R+38
- Nowthen, MN R+40
- Oxlip, MN R+45
- Isanti, MN R+31
- East Bethel, MN R+34
- East Lake Francis Shores, MN R+39
- Bodum, MN R+26
- Ramsey, MN R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Harold, FL R+43
- North Sarasota, FL D+10
- Shepherdstown, WV R+2
- Monee, IL R+2
- Montvale, NJ R+8
- Dewey, AZ R+33
- North Madison, OH R+24
- Farmersville, TX R+58
- Central Valley, NY R+11
- Hollymead, VA D+8
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.