Chamisal leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Chamisal typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chamisal, ~33% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chamisal compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chamisal leans more Democratic than 34 of 58 neighbors.
Chamisal runs about 22 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Chamisal. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+50) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+12), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Chamisal leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chamisal, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 40% of adults in Chamisal have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 20%).
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Chamisal, NM sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Chamisal looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Chamisal is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Chamisal report food insecurity, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ojo Sarco, NM D+13
- El Valle, NM D+40
- Llano, NM D+48
- Penasco, NM D+20
- Rodarte, NM D+47
- Canoncito, NM D+17
- Picuris Pueblo, NM D+20
- Vadito, NM D+37
- Truchas, NM D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Beaman, IA R+42
- Lazbuddie, TX R+82
- Sherwood, MS R+76
- Sideview, KY R+61
- Lakemont, SC R+65
- Clayville, RI R+18
- Oliver Beach, MD R+44
- Hardeetown, FL R+72
- Luck, NC R+35
- Clearwater, NE R+77
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.