Chatham Hill, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Chatham Hill

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Chatham Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.

 

About 82% of adults in Chatham Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chatham Hill, ~14% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Chatham Hill compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Chatham Hill leans more Republican than 61 of 88 neighbors.

Chatham Hill runs about 72 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Chatham Hill is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Chatham Hill leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chatham Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 5% of adults in Chatham Hill hold a bachelor's degree, about 24 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Chatham Hill sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 87% of cities). Chatham Hill runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Chatham Hill, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Chatham Hill looks the way it does

Turnout in Chatham Hill sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.