Chesapeake Ranch Estates leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Chesapeake Ranch Estates typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chesapeake Ranch Estates, ~40% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chesapeake Ranch Estates compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chesapeake Ranch Estates leans more Republican than 18 of 84 neighbors.
Chesapeake Ranch Estates runs about 37 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Chesapeake Ranch Estates is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Chesapeake Ranch Estates leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chesapeake Ranch Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Chesapeake Ranch Estates votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 49%, modestly above the Maryland average of 43%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Chesapeake Ranch Estates runs against the grain of Maryland, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Chesapeake Ranch Estates, MD sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Chesapeake Ranch Estates looks the way it does
Turnout in Chesapeake Ranch Estates sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lusby, MD R+9
- Dowell, MD R+2
- Solomons, MD Even
- Patuxent River, MD D+3
- Wallville, MD R+36
- Long Beach, MD R+24
- California, MD R+3
- Lexington Park, MD D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Havana, FL Even
- Flat Rock, NC R+22
- Bassett, VA R+49
- Emporia, VA D+32
- Somers Point, NJ R+5
- Knoxville, IA R+36
- Fairdale, KY R+27
- Keyser, WV R+51
- Coffeyville, KS R+31
- Belfair, WA R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.